煤价定价波动区间两明确
2022-04-22
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<strong>煤市洞察</strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;"><strong>产地：</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff4c41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">连续降价刺激拉运逐畅，行情基本止跌持稳，价格略有试探性抬头迹象，波动幅度在10-20元/吨。<strong>国务院常务会议召开指出运用市场化法治化办法，引导煤价运行在合理区间，</strong></span></strong></span>政策调控力度不断加强，叠加淡季煤价承压，然而受<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">疫情、需求等不确定性，市场对后期走势存分歧；</span></span>
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请向上滑动阅览
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong><img src="https://bcn.135editor.com/files/users/99/992932/202204/sRL9yJp9_wDam.jpg" style="vertical-align:inherit;" alt="微信图片_20220422115711.jpg" draggable="false" data-ratio="0.6666666666666666" data-w="1080"/></strong></span></span>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong>万劲松：</strong></span></span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">煤炭是关系国计民生的重要初级产品，今后一段时期我国能源消费仍然要立足以煤为主的基本国情。在当前国际能源供需形势错综复杂的背景下，进一步完善煤炭市场价格形成机制十分重要、十分必要。这次完善煤炭市场价格形成机制，简单地讲，就是坚持煤炭价格由市场形成的基础上，明确价格合理区间、强化区间调控，引导煤炭价格在合理区间运行，实现有效市场和有为政府的更好结合。具体内容可以概括为“两个明确、三项保障”。</span>
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<strong>“两个明确”：一是明确了煤炭价格合理区间。</strong>从目前阶段看，秦皇岛港下水煤5500千卡中长期交易含税价格在每吨570~770元之间较为合理，这也是行业的普遍共识。考虑中间环节流通费用等因素，明确了山西、陕西、内蒙三个重点产区煤炭出矿环节中长期交易价格合理区间。将综合采取措施，引导煤炭价格在上述合理区间运行。<strong>二是明确了合理区间内煤、电价格可以有效传导。</strong>目前，燃煤发电执行的是“基准价+上下浮动不超过20%”的市场化电价机制。这次完善煤炭市场价格形成机制，与燃煤发电价格机制相衔接，实现了“区间对区间”。我们这次明确了合理区间内煤、电价格可以有效传导，燃煤发电企业可在基准价上下浮动不超过20%范围内及时合理传导燃料成本变化。
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为实现上述“两个明确”，提出了三项保障措施。<strong>一是提升煤炭供需调节能力。</strong>保障煤炭产能合理充裕，完善煤炭中长期合同制度，进一步增强政府可调度储煤能力，完善储备调节机制。<strong>二是强化市场预期管理。</strong>进一步健全煤炭生产成本调查和价格监测制度，规范煤炭价格指数编制发布行为。煤炭价格超出合理区间时，充分运用各种手段和措施，引导煤炭价格合理回归。<strong>三是加强煤、电市场监管。</strong>严禁对合理区间内的煤、电价格进行不当行政干预，同时加强煤、电中长期合同履约监管，强化期现货市场联动监管和反垄断监管，及时查处价格违法违规行为。
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对于文件的主要政策内容，我可以用五句话帮大家再梳理一下。1、煤炭价格由市场形成，2、引导煤、电价格主要通过中长期交易形成，3、价格合理区间是行业共识，4、合理区间内煤、电价格可以充分传导，5、超出价格合理区间将及时调控监管。
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当前，完善煤炭市场价格形成机制具有十分重要的意义，可以概括为“三个稳”：<strong>一是稳预期，</strong>引导市场形成合理煤价预期，遏制投机资本恶意炒作，防止煤炭价格大起大落；<strong>二是稳供应，</strong>支持煤矿稳定生产、支持煤电平稳出力，更好发挥煤炭作为基础能源的兜底保障作用，维护国家能源安全；<strong>三是稳经济，</strong>推动上下游行业协同发展，引导煤炭价格进一步合理回落，稳定下游企业用电用煤的成本，促进经济平稳运行。
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下一步，我们将指导督促各地、各有关企业迅速抓好落实，确保政策尽快落地见效。
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;"><strong>港口：</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff4c41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">港口行情略有好转，报价延续持稳，运价持续回暖。</span></strong></span>市场对高煤价接受度依然不高，等待5月<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">煤价回落至合理区间后中长协合同价格执行情况</span>，目前采购仅维持刚需，仍持观望。<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">环渤海8港4月20日调进量139万吨，调出量118.1万吨，场存1719万吨，较前一日上涨21万吨，随着运量提升，库存小幅上涨。</span></span>
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<strong>热点速递</strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #FF4C41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;">大秦线检修提前至今天</span></strong></span>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #7B0C00;"> <strong> </strong><strong>据来自太原路局的消息，原计划5月1日展开的大秦线春季集中检修提前在4月21日展开。</strong></span>其中4月21日至4月30日检修不会全面展开，仅对部分路段开始检修，对整体运量影响不大，预计每天影响5万吨左右。自5月1日起检修将全面展开，预计每天影响运量20万吨。
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px; color: #FF4C41;">引导煤价运行在合理区间</span></strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #7B0C00;"> <strong>李克强主持召开国务院常务会议：运用市场化法治化办法，引导煤价运行在合理区间。</strong></span>发挥煤炭的主体能源作用。通力合作优化煤炭企业生产、项目建设等核准审批政策，落实地方稳产保供责任，充分释放先进产能。通过核增产能、扩产、新投产等，<strong>今年新增煤炭产能3亿吨。</strong>推进煤炭清洁高效利用，加强储备设施建设。
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<strong>走势分析</strong>
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<img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-cropselx1="0" data-cropselx2="546" data-cropsely1="0" data-cropsely2="285" data-galleryid="" data-s="300,640" src="https://bcn.135editor.com/uploadword/992932/202204/6262281e-e564-4aea-9a93-16b9ac10006d.png" data-type="png" style="max-width: 100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;margin: 0px; padding: 0px; height: 286px; vertical-align: bottom; width: 100%;" data-op="change" draggable="false" data-ratio="0.5212962962962963" data-w="1080"/>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;">北方8港库存走势</span></strong>
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<p style="text-align:center;vertical-align:inherit;margin: 0px 0px 0em; padding: 0px; clear: both; min-height: 1em;" align="center">
<img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-s="300,640" src="https://bcn.135editor.com/uploadword/992932/202204/62622838-5850-4131-919b-167cac10006d.png" data-type="png" style="max-width: 100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: bottom; height: auto !important; width: 100%;" data-op="change" draggable="false" data-ratio="0.6202127659574468" data-w="940"/>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;">环渤海主要港口煤炭装卸生产晚报</span></strong>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;"></span></strong>
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<img src="https://cos.xmyeditor.com/uploads/136/135417/20220422/679ff882e65972045f90546546fcd0bbthumb.png" title="4213(1).png" alt="4213(1).png" draggable="false" style="max-width: 100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align: inherit; width: 100%;" data-ratio="0.5027777777777778" data-w="1080"/>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;">化工原料煤走势</span></strong>
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<img src="https://bcn.135editor.com/files/users/99/992932/202204/JacOqBjk_bpNp.png" style="max-width: 100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align: inherit; width: 100%;" alt="好.png" draggable="false" data-ratio="0.4255555555555556" data-w="900"/>
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<section style="margin: 0px; padding: 10px 0px 30px; text-align: left; box-sizing: border-box;" class="">
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<strong>煤市洞察</strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;"><strong>产地：</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff4c41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">连续降价刺激拉运逐畅，行情基本止跌持稳，价格略有试探性抬头迹象，波动幅度在10-20元/吨。<strong>国务院常务会议召开指出运用市场化法治化办法，引导煤价运行在合理区间，</strong></span></strong></span>政策调控力度不断加强，叠加淡季煤价承压，然而受<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">疫情、需求等不确定性，市场对后期走势存分歧；</span></span>
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请向上滑动阅览
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong><img src="https://bcn.135editor.com/files/users/99/992932/202204/sRL9yJp9_wDam.jpg" style="vertical-align:inherit;" alt="微信图片_20220422115711.jpg" draggable="false" data-ratio="0.6666666666666666" data-w="1080"/></strong></span></span>
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<section style="margin: 1em 0px 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;" class="">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong>万劲松：</strong></span></span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">煤炭是关系国计民生的重要初级产品，今后一段时期我国能源消费仍然要立足以煤为主的基本国情。在当前国际能源供需形势错综复杂的背景下，进一步完善煤炭市场价格形成机制十分重要、十分必要。这次完善煤炭市场价格形成机制，简单地讲，就是坚持煤炭价格由市场形成的基础上，明确价格合理区间、强化区间调控，引导煤炭价格在合理区间运行，实现有效市场和有为政府的更好结合。具体内容可以概括为“两个明确、三项保障”。</span>
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<strong>“两个明确”：一是明确了煤炭价格合理区间。</strong>从目前阶段看，秦皇岛港下水煤5500千卡中长期交易含税价格在每吨570~770元之间较为合理，这也是行业的普遍共识。考虑中间环节流通费用等因素，明确了山西、陕西、内蒙三个重点产区煤炭出矿环节中长期交易价格合理区间。将综合采取措施，引导煤炭价格在上述合理区间运行。<strong>二是明确了合理区间内煤、电价格可以有效传导。</strong>目前，燃煤发电执行的是“基准价+上下浮动不超过20%”的市场化电价机制。这次完善煤炭市场价格形成机制，与燃煤发电价格机制相衔接，实现了“区间对区间”。我们这次明确了合理区间内煤、电价格可以有效传导，燃煤发电企业可在基准价上下浮动不超过20%范围内及时合理传导燃料成本变化。
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为实现上述“两个明确”，提出了三项保障措施。<strong>一是提升煤炭供需调节能力。</strong>保障煤炭产能合理充裕，完善煤炭中长期合同制度，进一步增强政府可调度储煤能力，完善储备调节机制。<strong>二是强化市场预期管理。</strong>进一步健全煤炭生产成本调查和价格监测制度，规范煤炭价格指数编制发布行为。煤炭价格超出合理区间时，充分运用各种手段和措施，引导煤炭价格合理回归。<strong>三是加强煤、电市场监管。</strong>严禁对合理区间内的煤、电价格进行不当行政干预，同时加强煤、电中长期合同履约监管，强化期现货市场联动监管和反垄断监管，及时查处价格违法违规行为。
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对于文件的主要政策内容，我可以用五句话帮大家再梳理一下。1、煤炭价格由市场形成，2、引导煤、电价格主要通过中长期交易形成，3、价格合理区间是行业共识，4、合理区间内煤、电价格可以充分传导，5、超出价格合理区间将及时调控监管。
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当前，完善煤炭市场价格形成机制具有十分重要的意义，可以概括为“三个稳”：<strong>一是稳预期，</strong>引导市场形成合理煤价预期，遏制投机资本恶意炒作，防止煤炭价格大起大落；<strong>二是稳供应，</strong>支持煤矿稳定生产、支持煤电平稳出力，更好发挥煤炭作为基础能源的兜底保障作用，维护国家能源安全；<strong>三是稳经济，</strong>推动上下游行业协同发展，引导煤炭价格进一步合理回落，稳定下游企业用电用煤的成本，促进经济平稳运行。
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下一步，我们将指导督促各地、各有关企业迅速抓好落实，确保政策尽快落地见效。
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;"><strong>港口：</strong></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff4c41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">港口行情略有好转，报价延续持稳，运价持续回暖。</span></strong></span>市场对高煤价接受度依然不高，等待5月<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">煤价回落至合理区间后中长协合同价格执行情况</span>，目前采购仅维持刚需，仍持观望。<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #323232; font-family: -apple-system-font, sans-serif;">环渤海8港4月20日调进量139万吨，调出量118.1万吨，场存1719万吨，较前一日上涨21万吨，随着运量提升，库存小幅上涨。</span></span>
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<strong>热点速递</strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #FF4C41;"><strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px;">大秦线检修提前至今天</span></strong></span>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #7B0C00;"> <strong> </strong><strong>据来自太原路局的消息，原计划5月1日展开的大秦线春季集中检修提前在4月21日展开。</strong></span>其中4月21日至4月30日检修不会全面展开，仅对部分路段开始检修，对整体运量影响不大，预计每天影响5万吨左右。自5月1日起检修将全面展开，预计每天影响运量20万吨。
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 15px; color: #FF4C41;">引导煤价运行在合理区间</span></strong>
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<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #7B0C00;"> <strong>李克强主持召开国务院常务会议：运用市场化法治化办法，引导煤价运行在合理区间。</strong></span>发挥煤炭的主体能源作用。通力合作优化煤炭企业生产、项目建设等核准审批政策，落实地方稳产保供责任，充分释放先进产能。通过核增产能、扩产、新投产等，<strong>今年新增煤炭产能3亿吨。</strong>推进煤炭清洁高效利用，加强储备设施建设。
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<strong>走势分析</strong>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;">北方8港库存走势</span></strong>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;"></span></strong>
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<strong><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 13px;">化工原料煤走势</span></strong>
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